Journal
Notes on the Ottawa market.
Market letters, buying & selling guides, neighbourhood notes, investor and commercial analysis.
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Ottawa office vacancy fell downtown. Here's the catch.
Jul 25, 2026 · 5 min read
Downtown office vacancy dropped more than a full point last quarter. Two buildings leaving the leasing inventory did most of the work. The real news is buried further down the report.
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Ottawa's Commercial Market Is Splitting in Two: Soft Office, Tight Industrial, and Where the Real Deals Are
Jul 18, 2026 · 5 min read
The federal plan to shed half its office space collided with a four-day return-to-office mandate, and Ottawa's commercial market is caught in the whiplash. Office tenants suddenly have leverage. Industrial tenants have the opposite problem.
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Why RTO4 could put a floor under Ottawa's office vacancy
Jul 11, 2026 · 4 min read
For five years the federal government did everything it could to shed office space in Ottawa. Then RTO4 landed on July 6, and the demand math flipped overnight.
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Office-to-residential conversions: can they fix downtown Ottawa?
Jul 4, 2026 · 5 min read
Ottawa is the only Canadian office market still moving the wrong way, and the federal government is about to hand back more space. Conversions are everyone's favourite fix. Here's the actual math.
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Tenant inducements: the hidden math in Ottawa leases
Jun 27, 2026 · 5 min read
The face rent on a commercial lease is the number that tells you the least. In a 14.3% vacancy office market, the inducements are where the real negotiation lives.
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Retail vs office vs industrial: which Ottawa segment is moving
Jun 22, 2026 · 4 min read
If you have capital to deploy into Ottawa commercial real estate in 2026, the segment choice matters more than the property choice. Here's the head-to-head comparison I walk investor clients through.
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Ottawa commercial market overview Q2 2026
Jun 17, 2026 · 3 min read
Ottawa's commercial real estate market in 2026 isn't one market — it's three, moving in three different directions. Office is challenged. Industrial is tight. Retail is rebounding from a long valley.
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